Letâs be honest â itâs been a horrible few months for crypto traders. Prices have been in a downtrend since the beginning of summer, and September hasnât been pleasant so far either. Itâs actually been quite the opposite.
Specifically, Ethereum has had awful price action throughout the whole bull run and is now trading below the $2.4k level after plummeting 8% this week.
Bitcoin isnât doing much better, with the price hovering around $56k after a 7% plunge during the same period.
So, a lot of traders are now wondering â did Bitcoin already peak in March?
Analyzing the Bull Run: Is There More to Come?
CryptoQuant, a respected blockchain analytics platform, posted an analysis on this topic, and they definitely think Bitcoin hasnât reached a cycle top yet.
According to their report, âIn March 2024, Bitcoin reached a new all-time high, leading many to question whether this marked the final market top. However, based on on-chain data analysis, it appears that Marchâs peak was likely an âinitial topâ rather than the ultimate one.â
The analysis focuses on a key indicator of long-term holder activity called Binary CDD (Coin Days Destroyed). While this metric showed some profit-taking around March 2024, it hasnât reached the levels typically seen before a final market top.
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Show more +Long-Term Holders: The Key to Understanding Market Dynamics
CryptoQuantâs report emphasizes the importance of long-term holder behavior in determining market peaks. They note, âThe absence of large-scale selling by long-term holders indicates that the market has not fully matured, and we are still far from the final peak of the bull market.â
This insight suggests that while we may have seen an âinterim topâ in March, leading to a period of consolidation, it likely wasnât the ultimate peak of this bullish cycle. The market appears to be in a âcooling-offâ phase, adjusting both price and time.
Read also: Starknet Price Pumps as STRK Trading Volume Hits $120 Million
The report concludes by stating, âBefore we reach the final top, we will likely see renewed activity from long-term holders, with Binary CDD reaching the red zone, signaling the next round of price adjustments.â
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