- Rate cuts & U.S. election may delay altseason, impacting crypto traders’ strategies.
- Crypto market poised for volatility amid Fed’s rate decision and election results.
- Bitcoin dominance rises as altcoins struggle with macroeconomic pressures and political uncertainty.
A week of potential volatility lies ahead for the cryptocurrency market. Traders are closely monitoring the upcoming interest rate decision by the Federal Reserve and the results of the U.S. presidential election.
After dropping below the key resistance of $70,000 at the end of October, bitcoin remains under pressure, while altcoins have been even more bearish.
Market Braces for Federal Reserve Announcement
The Federal Reserve is set to reveal its latest interest rate decision on Thursday, November 7. Data from the CME Group shows a high probability of 99.7% of a 25 basis points rate cut.
Such a move is anticipated to impact crypto prices. In addition, the crypto sector has been highly sensitive to macroeconomic developments, aligning its movements with traditional financial markets like the S&P 500.
The U.S. election voting is set to happen on November 5, with preliminary results expected around November 6. Historically, the financial markets have reacted to political developments. Changes in leadership often trigger shifts in investor sentiment.
Implications for Crypto Traders
The volatility index has shown a 65% rise year-to-date. Moreover, this indicates sustained market volatility even as stock indices hit record highs. This trend suggests that crypto traders could face heightened risk and swift market swings around the election period. Historically, periods of political transition have led to significant market fluctuations, affecting both Bitcoin and altcoins.
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The price trend of Bitcoin in recent weeks has mirrored the broader worries in the economy and politics. Despite some minor setbacks, analysts think that Bitcoin will likely continue to rise and could possibly hit $100,000 by the end of the year.
Challenges for Altcoin Market
While Bitcoin dominance has risen, surpassing 60%, the altcoin market remains subdued. The anticipated approval of spot Ether ETFs and interest in altcoins like Solana (SOL), XRP, and Litecoin (LTC) have not translated into the bullish momentum seen in past cycles.
Analysts suggest that the current macro environment, combined with election uncertainties and potential rate cuts, might delay the anticipated altseason.
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