How Long Till ETH Price Hits $6500, as Ethereum Resembles 2020 Post-halving Rally?


A comparative analysis of Bitcoin’s dominance and ETH/BTC price action, highlighted how market dynamics are working. ETH price could be preparing for some upward action.

Bitcoin’s market dominance illustrated a gradual decline, evidenced by a downtrend that pointed towards lessening influence in the market.

This decline was punctuated by a dip below 57.75%, suggesting a potential shift in market preference or diversification into other cryptos.

Conversely, ETH/BTC revealed a different narrative. Ethereum showed resilience and a slight bullish trend against Bitcoin, particularly notable in Q4, as suggested by historical data.

The pattern of this pair was marked by an uptrend, consolidating around 0.03645 BTC, demonstrating ETH’s increasing strength relative to Bitcoin.

BTC Dominance v ETH/BTC 3-day charts | Source: Trading View

This comparative strength was further supported by the pattern of higher lows, which traditionally indicated underlying strength in Ethereum.

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The synchronization of Bitcoin’s decreasing dominance with Ethereum’s comparative price strength against Bitcoin suggested a potential shift in market dynamics, favoring Ethereum.

This trend, if it continues, could imply significant market movements, with Ethereum potentially outpacing Bitcoin in certain aspects of market influence.

ETH Price Action and Prediction

Ethereum’s price prediction for 2025, when compared to the 2020 post-halving rally, provided a strong basis for anticipating substantial price movements.

Ethereum price could follow through a well-formed bull pennant pattern, hinting at a continuation of the upward trend.

Historically, such patterns signaled bullish outcomes, which aligned with the 2020 experience, where Ethereum saw significant gains following a similar setup.

The 2021 chart mirrored this bullish sentiment, highlighting periods of rapid price increases followed by consolidation.

ETH/USDT post-2020 v post-2024 halvings | Source: CryptoBullet/X

The similarity in patterns between the two timeframes strengthened the case for ETH reaching the $6500 target.

Notably, the price action in late 2020 and early 2021 set the stage for record highs. If the current pattern holds true, similar outcomes could be expected.

The potential bull pennant pattern for Q1 of 2025 suggested accumulation. While a breakout pointed to robust buying interest that could propel prices towards $6500 in mid-year.

ETH Traders on All Exchanges Bet on?

The long/short ratio across various exchanges for Ethereum futures highlighted a significant bullish sentiment.

Particularly notable was BitMEX, where a staggering 78.3% of traders were positioned long. It indicated a strong belief in Ethereum’s upward price trajectory. This figure outpaced the bearish positions, suggesting robust confidence among traders.

The aggregate sentiment for ETH price on all exchanges also leans positive, with 52% favoring long positions over shorts.

This trend was reflected in other major exchanges like OKX and Bybit. On these exchanges the long percentages were 53.4% and 53.0%, respectively. This reinforced the optimistic outlook.

CoinEx presented a contrast, with more traders positioned short. It highlighted a divergent perspective possibly due to exchange-specific dynamics or regional trading behaviors.

Nonetheless, the prevailing mood across most platforms indicated a prevailing anticipation of gains.

This concentrated optimism could significantly influence ETH’s market behavior. It could potentially propel ETH price toward new highs if the bullish bets play out as expected. The current setup suggested a tilt towards a continued upward trend for Ethereum.





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