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Bitcoin news over the last week was predominantly bearish and could be on the verge of concluding March with the same energy. Market participants are now curious as to whether April will bring forth bullish tidings or bearish suppression.
The answers may not be as straight forward and may largely rely on the kind of Bitcoin news that will grace the market in the next 4 weeks. While we may not have a magical crystal ball, there are some factors that have had a major impact on price action in March and may continue to do so in April.
A recent analysis by The Kobeissi Letter revealed some interesting findings about the nature of the market in March. Tariff wars had a major influence on the S&P500, especially last week as other countries retaliated against Trump tariffs.
Note that the market previously demonstrated some excitement in the third week of March as tariff wars cooled down.
Could the same tariff wars loosen their grip on the market in April?
The last week of March made it clear that tariff wars still had the markets in a choke-hold. This means investor sentiment could potentially remain in fear territory.
The market will likely continue reacting the same way if the threat of more tariffs-related drama remains active or even transitions into more aggressive economic welfare.
The risk of recession also remains active and is also a major factor to consider. Investor sentiment could also remain subdued during an economic recession, and this could lead to low liquidity flows.
On the other hand, things could improve in April and if so, then market conditions could improve and pave the way for some bullish relief.
Expecting unexpected Bitcoin news
The narrative in Q1 were mostly focused on tariffs but it is not the only market mover. However, as Q2 rolls in, there is a chance that the narrative will shift in favor of crypto regulation.
Analysts will also be on the look-out for developments about governments and institutions adopting Bitcoin into their balance sheets. Numerous states in the U.S filed for strategic reserve status in Q1. This means Q2 could actually see approvals and potentially trigger a surge in demand from individual states.
Meanwhile, the best that could happen for Bitcoin in Q2 include potential white swan event that might be enough to trigger a massive wave of liquidity back into crypto.
In addition, a change of tune as far as inflation is concerned could set the stage for major changes. Expectations regarding the next FED’s next decision regarding rate cuts are quite high, with many analysts expecting a return to rate cuts.
Lower interest rates translate to more access to liquidity and therefore a potentially much easier environment for crypto to attract liquidity. These are just some of the surprises that could occur in April that Bitcoin investors should look out for when keeping up with Bitcoin news.
