As of February 24, Ethereum $1,865 trades below $2,600, leading to the liquidation of $918 million in collateralized positions over the last 15 days. Investors are questioning how the network will handle technical improvements and competitive pressures to surpass the $2,500 level. The upcoming Pectra update aims to reduce transaction fees; however, concerns over liquidity distribution and layer-2 integrations are rising. Additionally, a decrease in institutional investor demand and a $406 million outflow from spot ETFs negatively impact short-term expectations.
Technical and Competitive Challenges Facing Ethereum
The Ethereum network plans to improve transaction speed and costs with the Pectra update. However, the fragmentation of liquidity among layer-2 solutions and limitations in user access raise concerns about the update’s effectiveness. Reported empty block issues on the test network trigger doubts about the network’s stability, while rival blockchain Solana $120 gains traction through meme coin activity, adding to the pressure.
Analysts emphasize that Ethereum risks losing market share if it fails to resolve scalability issues. Specifically, there is a call for accelerating the integration of layer-2 protocols to enhance user-friendliness in the smart contract space. Despite falling transaction fees on the network, an annual supply increase of 0.7% is said to slow down adoption rates.
Decline in Institutional Demand and Network Activity
Recent trends indicate that in nine out of the last ten trading days, institutional demand has shown negative results, suggesting a loss of trust among institutional investors in Ethereum. The net outflows from spot ETFs indicate that investors are cautious about short-term returns. Although it is predicted that the addition of staked ETH to these ETFs could increase demand, current supply dynamics weaken this expectation.
A slowdown in network activity is highlighted by decreases in trading volume and fee revenues. Analysts argue that Ethereum must reduce its supply growth rate to achieve sustainable growth and encourage the adoption of layer-2 solutions. Furthermore, there are warnings that policies from the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission regarding competing projects could exert additional pressure on Ethereum.
Disclaimer: The information contained in this article does not constitute investment advice. Investors should be aware that cryptocurrencies carry high volatility and therefore risk, and should conduct their own research.