Jefferies Cuts AMD’s PT to $120 as Nvidia Rivalry Heats Up

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Neither the author, Tim Fries, nor this website, The Tokenist, provide financial advice. Please consult our website policy prior to making financial decisions.

Advanced Micro Devices Inc. (NYSE: AMD) is facing mounting challenges as competition intensifies in the semiconductor industry. Recent reports highlight that AMD has been downgraded by Jefferies to a “hold” rating, primarily due to the fierce rivalry with Nvidia Corp. (NASDAQ: NVDA), especially in the domain of artificial intelligence (AI) chips.

This development comes amid a broader narrative of technological advancements and market positioning, with AMD struggling to keep pace with Nvidia’s dominance. The downgrade reflects concerns over AMD’s ability to close the technological gap with Nvidia, which holds a commanding lead in the AI chip market.

Jefferies’ AMD Downgrade Implies Tough Competition in AI-Driven Semiconductor Industry

The downgrade by Jefferies underscores the competitive pressures AMD faces in the rapidly evolving semiconductor industry. Analyst Blayne Curtis pointed out that AMD is currently trailing behind Nvidia in terms of technological capabilities, particularly in the AI chip segment. Nvidia’s upcoming product cycles are expected to further widen this gap, posing significant challenges for AMD.

Nvidia’s stronghold in the AI chip market is evident, with an 89% share compared to AMD’s 10.3%. Additionally, Intel Corp. is making strategic moves that could further complicate AMD’s market position. As Intel repositions itself, AMD could face increased competition, adding to the existing pressures from Nvidia.

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AMD Stock Brief

AMD’s stock has experienced a notable decline, reflecting the market’s reaction to the competitive landscape. The stock is down nearly 50% from its peak last year, with an 8.8% decrease year-to-date. Despite these challenges, market estimates for AMD remain optimistic, though Jefferies warns of potential downside risks. The stock’s recent performance shows a closing price of $110.19, down from its previous close of $114.81, with a day low of $108.68 and a day high of $115.8999.

The recent price movement of AMD’s stock reflects the broader market sentiment and the impact of the downgrade. The stock opened at $114.255 and closed at $110.19 on March 26, 2025. The premarket price on March 27, 2025, was $106.48, indicating a potential further decline. The stock has fluctuated significantly, with a 52-week high of $187.28 and a low of $94.73.

Despite the challenges, some analysts maintain a “buy” recommendation for AMD, with a recommendation mean of 1.84. The target high price for the stock is set at $225.0, while the target low is $90.0, reflecting a wide range of potential outcomes.

The target mean price stands at $146.53, with a median price of $140.0. These projections indicate that while AMD faces significant hurdles, there is still optimism about its long-term prospects. However, the company will need to address its technological shortcomings and navigate the competitive landscape effectively to capitalize on future opportunities.

Disclaimer: The author does not hold or have a position in any securities discussed in the article. All stock prices were quoted at the time of writing.

About the author

Tim Fries is the cofounder of The Tokenist. He has a B. Sc. in Mechanical Engineering from the University of Michigan, and an MBA from the University of Chicago Booth School of Business. Tim served as a Senior Associate on the investment team at RW Baird’s US Private Equity division, and is also the co-founder of Protective Technologies Capital, an investment firm specializing in sensing, protection and control solutions.





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