Will Low Funding Rates Trigger a Breakout?


– Advertisement –
  • Ethereum’s funding rate remains low, indicating a neutral futures market awaiting stronger signals from traders and institutional investors.
  • Extreme funding rates above 0.05% raise liquidation risks, potentially triggering high volatility and rapid ETH price swings.

Ethereum (ETH) is currently trading at $3,286.96, reflecting a 0.54% increase in the last 24 hours. Its market capitalization stands at $396.13 billion, with a 24-hour trading volume of $11.5 billion, marking a 15.56% increase. The circulating supply is 120.49 million ETH, with no fixed maximum supply.

Ethereum Market Trends and Network Developments

Ethereum is experiencing strong institutional adoption, with the first U.S. pension fund investing $10 million in Ethereum ETFs. Additionally, ETH has seen a $1.4 billion outflow from exchanges, indicating that whales and long-term holders are accumulating rather than selling.

Standard Chartered has also expanded its Ethereum custody services in Luxembourg, aligning with EU digital asset regulations to enhance cross-border asset management.

Continuing Ethereum reports in ETHNews, on the technical side, Ethereum is benefiting from the Pectra upgrade, which improves staking efficiency, scalability, and validator management

Layer 2 solutions such as Arbitrum and Optimism are continuing to enhance Ethereum’s transaction speeds and reduce fees, addressing network congestion concerns. 

Moreover, Ethereum’s staking ecosystem is strengthening, with 74.7% of long-term holders actively engaging in staking and DeFi protocols.

ETHUSD_2025-01-12_14-39-41
Source: Tradingview

From a price action perspective, ETH is currently testing resistance at $3,300 – $3,350, while support remains at $3,200 – $3,250. If ETH successfully breaks above $3,350, the next upside target could be $3,500 – $3,700.

However, failure to hold current levels could lead to a retracement towards $3,100 – $3,150 before another bullish attempt.

With increasing institutional interest, Layer 2 expansion, and strong on-chain fundamentals, Ethereum remains positioned for long-term growth. However, a decisive break above $3,350 is necessary to confirm a continued uptrend.

Ethereum’s Funding Rate Trends

Since mid-December through early January, funding rates have stabilized at lower levels, indicating a drop in leveraged positions and a period of market consolidation. If the funding rate begins to rise again, it could signal that traders are accumulating long positions, potentially driving Ethereum’s price higher

ETH OI-Weighted Funding Rate
Source: Coinglass

On the other hand, if it turns negative, it would reflect a surge in bearish bets, increasing the likelihood of a price correction.

If the funding rate starts increasing, it suggests that traders are entering long positions, which could provide bullish momentum for Ethereum’s price. However, if it turns negative, it would imply that short sellers are increasing their exposure, potentially leading to a bearish phase for ETH. 

A key warning sign to watch for is an excessively high funding rate above 0.05%, as this would indicate overleveraging, raising the risk of mass liquidations and sharp price drops.



Source link