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In a compelling forecast in XRP news headlines, Bitwise projected two sharply divergent futures for XRP market cap.
Released on March 26, 2025, their analysis suggested XRP could climb to $2.9 trillion market capitalization by 2030—eclipsing Microsoft’s current $2.8 trillion valuation—or tumble to a mere 13 cents per token, effectively fading into obscurity.
As of the forecast date, the cryptocurrency market stands at roughly $2.5 trillion, with XRP ranking fourth, holding a market cap of $128.9billion at $2.21 per token. Bitwise’s forecast hinges on XRP’s capacity to carve out a major role in the fast-evolving realms of tokenization and digital payments.
XRP’s High-Flying Max Scenario
Bitwise’s “max scenario” sees XRP hitting $29.32 by 2030. That’s a market cap of $2.9 trillion, outpacing Microsoft’s current standing.
The projection, rooted in the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM), assumes XRP snags 1% to 2% of the global tokenization market, expected to top $10.9 trillion by 2030.
Bitwise predicts XRP’s price climbing to $4.48 by 2025, $9.60 by 2027, and $29.32 by 2030—an annual return of 46%. Key to this? Token burns from transaction fees in payments and tokenized assets, shrinking supply.
Bitwise also assumes XRP’s market cap relative to Bitcoin jumps from 11% to 13.81%, with Bitcoin reaching $1 million per token.
The “bull scenario” offers a tamer climb. XRP reaches $12.70 by 2030, reflecting steady network growth without dominating key markets. Still, that’s a fivefold jump from its current $2.21 price.
XRP News: Bitwise’s Grim Bear Case
Flip the coin, and Bitwise’s “bear scenario” spells trouble. XRP could plummet to $0.13 by 2030—a 94% drop from today’s $2.21. That’s a market cap shriveling to near irrelevance.
The forecast assumes XRP fails to win over institutions, losing ground to stablecoins and rival blockchains. Bitwise projects a negative annual return of 59%, with XRP dipping to $1.07 by 2026 and sliding further.
Historical volatility of 147% backs this grim outlook. The controversial centralized control according to XRP news reports and banking reliance could drag XRP down, especially if regulatory clarity stalls.
As of March 27, 2025, XRP holds steady at $2.21, with a $128.9billion market cap. That’s a 70% drop from its all-time high of $3.3963, hit in January 2025, per CoinMarketCap data.
Ripple’s legal win offers context. In March 2025, Ripple withdrew its cross-appeal against the SEC, possibly closing a years-long dispute. No price surge followed, though.
Meanwhile, Bitwise filed for an XRP ETF in February. Analyst Nate Geraci, quoted in March 2025, predicts BlackRock and Fidelity might jump in too. An XRP ETF could draw institutional cash, but it’s no guarantee.
Ripple’s global push adds another layer. According to XRP news reports, the firm collaborates with 20 countries on Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs), per Bitwise’s report. Success here could tie XRP to the XRP Ledger, boosting demand. Yet, competition from stablecoins and other chains looms.
