The Bank of England CBDC plan threatens traditional banks. According to Governor Andrew Bailey, banks must modernize or risk failure. This digital currency push creates new challenges for the UK banking sector. Innovation will determine which banks will survive. Many banks are already closing branches, showing the start of major changes in banking.
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Exploring the Impact of the Bank of England’s CBDC on Traditional Banks
Survival Through Innovation or Extinction
Bailey’s message at the Group of Thirty’s Annual International Banking Seminar was clear: “If for some reason innovation is unlikely to happen, then the central banks have to decide whether they are the only game in town.” Banks must update their systems or lose business to the central bank. Research shows banks could lose 20% of their revenue when Bank of England’s CBDC launches. Small banks face the highest risk of failure.
Banks’ Path to Survival
Banks have three choices: compete, adapt, or fail. Bailey emphasized that “for commercial bank money to function effectively, it must keep pace with the needs of its users. “ Success depends on becoming a digital-first institution.
Banks must offer advanced payment systems and new financial products. The Bank of England’s push for a CBDC requires heavy investment in technology. Many small banks will need to merge with larger ones to survive.
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The Banking Exodus Risk
Customer departure poses the biggest threat. “Absent innovation in commercial bank money, central banks may be left as the only game in town insofar as retail payments innovation is concerned,” Bailey warned.
People might prefer to keep their money directly with the Bank of England through a CBDC. This shift threatens smaller banks the most. Experts predict that 30% of UK banks might fail without major changes to their business approach.
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Some banks will survive the Bank of England CBDC era, and others won’t. Survivors must create new services beyond basic payments. As Bailey noted, “That is not my preferred outcome, but not one that we should rule out.” Banks need quick action and new technology to survive. The next five years will show which banks can adapt to this digital change and which will disappear.
