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Bitcoin Momentum Builds, RSI Signals Bulls in Control Above $63K

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After investing 1 billion Japanese Yen ($6.7 million) in Bitcoin, Tokyo-based investment firm Metaplanet has boosted its Bitcoin holdings. On October 7, 2024, the company bought 108.78 BTC. It brings the total volume of Bitcoin they own above 639 BTC, approved at over 6 billion Yen ($40.6 million).

Bitcoin has gained 1% in the last 24 hours, consistent with its surge past $63,500. This follows the firm’s aggressive Bitcoin purchasing strategy. It began in May 2024 when it began buying the cryptocurrency as a reserve asset.

Bitcoin Price Targets New All-Time High in October

The chart shows Bitcoin’s price in a daily time frame. BTC price is currently trading above the $60,500 support level, having bounced back from a recent low.

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The breakout level at $68,650 is the next critical resistance. If surpassed, BTC could average 30% gains to a psychological resistance of $80,000.

Source: Tradingview
Source: Tradingview

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) trades above the neutral 50 level at 56.47, indicating bulls are in charge of momentum. The next target for the price to rally past is the $80,000 psychological mark. If the price stays above the $63k  level and breaks through $68,650, the next target would be the $80,000 psychological mark.

However, if the price cannot hold above $63k, it may plunge back to the $60,500 support level. For signs of overbought conditions, momentum and RSI levels should be monitored closely, too.

BTC 2024 Follows Halving Year Trend, Poised for Strong Q4 Surge

BTC price performance around Q4 of halving years is compared in the chart. The value of Bitcoin rises significantly each year, notably if we’re near the end of the year.

Moreover, Bitcoin’s trajectory just prior to and leading up to the 2024 halving is identical to that of earlier halving cycles, namely a sharp acceleration in price right into the last quarter of that year. Specifically, Bitcoin’s price sprang up an impressive 171% in 2020 alone in Q4, but a 9% increase in 2012 and 59% in 2016.

Source: CryptoQuant
Source: CryptoQuant

The 2024 trajectory of Bitcoin performance mirrors the 2020 path, with BTC well positioned for a repeat strong tail end-of-the-year run. BTC is already showing positive movement as the market enters the fourth quarter.

The 2024, representing a sharp rise, hints that BTC could be at the cusp of matching or exceeding its past all-time highs.

Bitcoin’s Net Realized Profit and Loss metric signals possible bull run

The Net Realized Profit and Loss (NRPL) metric is another telling indicator of BTC’s market behavior, a measure of the net profits or losses generated by investors.

Although Bitcoin has remained unmoved in the past six months, the NRPL has declined to a level seen at the start of the bull market, when BTC traded around $30,000.

The NRPL has decreased here, indicating that BTC could be setting up for a new bullish phase. The data suggests a possible rally in Bitcoin in months to come if external market factors stay the same, with optimism in the community of Bitcoin investors and market participants soaring.



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