Bitcoin Supply On Exchanges Keeps Falling, Is Price Rally Ahead?


Crypto entrepreneur Lark Davis recently shared a chart showing that the amount of Bitcoin (BTC) on Centralized Exchanges (CEXs) is dropping. Although there were a few upward fluctuations, the chart showed a consistent fall in exchanges’ Bitcoin Reserves since January 2024.

Insights gathered from blockchain analytics platform CryptoQuant suggest that the plunge in exchange reserves corresponds with a surge in the coin’s price. Notably, the price of Bitcoin was $65,489.25 at the time of writing, having increased by 1.66% in the last 24 hours. To complement the upswing, the coin’s 7-day price gains have soared by 3.11%.

Consistent Drop in Bitcoin Exchange Reserves

Bitcoin exchange reserves dropped from approximately 3 million BTC in January to around 2.6 million BTC. Market observers noted that this level was last seen in November 2018.

An even larger drop was discovered in the yearly trend. About 430,000 BTC had reduced the reserves since the beginning of the year. There is a pattern to the Bitcoin reserve slump from 3 million BTC to 2.6 million BTC when the coin’s price was around $43,000.

The exchange reserve dropped to 2.6 million BTC amid the visible price surge. This corresponds with more than a 13.3% drop in Bitcoin within nine months.

Bitcoin Investors Explore Alternative Custody Options

The plunge indicates that investors are pulling out their coins from exchanges. They are choosing to HODL, which is a unique trend in an accumulation phase.

These investors are likely opting for long-term storage in personal wallets. They are leaning towards long-term holding rather than short-term trading.

Often, this action is seen as a demonstration of strong confidence in the flagship cryptocurrency’s future price potential. It immediately reduces the coin’s supply available for trading. Potentially this sets the stage for a supply squeeze and a price surge.

The accumulation of Bitcoin by spot Bitcoin ETF products is also a major factor driving the reserve crunch.

Catalysts And Predictions For Bitcoin Price

In terms of Bitcoin price, the expectation was that the entrance of institutional investors through Bitcoin ETFs would boost it. For a moment, the coin’s price hit $73,750 for the first time in mid-March, but it was short-lived.

Bitcoin has not reached that level again in the last six months. However, crypto market analysts are hopeful that the coin will meet its next bull run before the end of this year.

Renowned YouTuber and analyst PlanB predicted that BTC might reach six figures before 2024 ends. He sees the coin surpassing $100,000 in value this year. He based his forecast on the recovery of mining revenue after the 2024 halving event.

Also, his Stock-to-Flow (S2F) model suggested that the firstborn digital currency may hit a price target of $500,000 within the next four years. The analyst believes that the top of the Bitcoin bull market will be in 2025. According to him, there will be exponential returns until at least 50% adoption.

Similarly, Jack Dorsey, the former CEO of X, suggested that the price of Bitcoin could hit $1 million by 2030. Bitcoin will need a couple of catalysts to push the price to hit any of these predicted values.



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