Coinbase Shares Plunge 15% as Earnings Disappoint, but Traders Remain Optimistic

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Shares of Coinbase Global Inc. (COIN) took a sharp dive on October 31, marking their largest single-day drop in over two years. Following a disappointing Q3 earnings report, COIN closed at $179.25, down 15.34% from the previous day.

Earnings Miss Fuels Major Sell-Off

This dip came amid broader market turmoil, with the stock market losing over $950 billion in value in a single day, according to financial analyst Andrew Lokenauth. The crypto exchange’s earnings fell short of Wall Street’s expectations by around 11%, as transaction revenue declined 27% from the previous quarter, though it still managed a notable 98% year-over-year increase.

Despite the setback, several crypto analysts and traders remain confident in Coinbase’s potential. Notably, popular crypto trader Pickle voiced optimism, predicting a bullish outlook for 2025. On social media, Pickle told their 16,100 followers that “everyone is overblowing the Coinbase earnings call” and forecasted that Q1 and Q2 of next year could see record results. Pickle went so far as to suggest that COIN might reach $600 as market conditions improve and retail interest potentially returns.

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Analysts Note Bitcoin’s Influence

Many analysts attribute COIN’s current performance to a seasonal decline in retail trading and broader economic factors, rather than any fundamental flaws in Coinbase’s business model. Stock market commentator Geert Leysen stated that COIN remains above its long-term trendline, linking its trajectory to Bitcoin’s performance. Bitcoin has historically influenced Coinbase’s stock, given that its revenues are closely tied to trading activity and interest in the cryptocurrency market.

Meanwhile, another pseudonymous trader, Cable, noted that COIN continues to trade below its IPO price of $250, calling it “wild” that the stock has yet to surpass this level since its public debut in 2021.

Coinbase’s management remains focused on expanding its services. The exchange recently partnered with Visa, which simplifies crypto transactions for cardholders. The addition of this new feature is aimed at boosting user engagement, particularly for those looking for seamless on-ramp and off-ramp solutions within the crypto ecosystem.

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Base’s Growing Transaction Volume

While the earnings miss has cast a shadow, Coinbase’s innovation efforts continue to draw attention. Its Ethereum layer-2 network, Base recently made headlines by surpassing established blockchains like Ethereum, Solana, and Tron in daily stablecoin transaction volumes, capturing over 30% of the market for a brief period.

This achievement underscores Coinbase’s potential to capture new revenue streams through blockchain infrastructure, even as transaction revenue faces short-term declines.