On Sept. 2, 2024, or roughly 16 days before the next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, an overwhelming majority of the market seems to be predicting the U.S. Federal Reserve to cut the federal funds rate by 25 basis points (bps) on Sept. 18. The U.S. federal funds rate is currently at 5.25%-5.50%, which…
Meanwhile, crypto assets continue to decline in what has been a divergence from tech stock markets, which continue to see growth. Last week’s economic reports painted a rosy picture of a robust economy, resilient consumer spending, and gradually cooling inflation. This is the fuel for the Federal Reserve to ease its monetary policy, with investors…
Market News The employment numbers would solidify bets on the anticipated Fed rate cuts. Investors will be keeping a careful eye on Sep 6, when the US Job Data is due to be released. Next week’s key events, such as US employment statistics, are keenly anticipated by the crypto market. As the employment numbers would…
Bitmex co-founder Arthur Hayes is optimistic about bitcoin’s future, citing recent interest rate cuts by central banks. He believes further rate cuts by the U.S. Federal Reserve, Bank of England, and European Central Bank could expand the money supply and drive inflation. Hayes argues that while inflation may negatively impact some businesses, it would benefit…
On Friday, August 30, the US Bureau of Economic Analysis will unveil the US PCE figures. If the PCE inflation number is greater, the crypto market will face more selling pressure. Economists in the United States are predicting a rather strong reading for personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index, the favored inflation indicator of the…
A recent report from Cryptoquant reveals that comments by Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell sparked a surge in U.S. bitcoin demand last week, though overall global demand remains weak. The report highlights the mixed signals in the market following the Fed’s announcement. Analysis Says Weak Global Bitcoin Demand Persists Cryptoquant‘s report details how bitcoin’s price…
The implications of the federal rate cut have already started to show their ripple effect. In his recent address, Jerome Powell, the Federal Reserve chair, shared his stance on the latest rate cut expectations, adding how a policy change is already under consideration. Powell’s remark has potentially caused a domino effect on the current US…
BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes recently published an article titled “Sugar High,” highlighting the short-term effects of the Federal Reserve’s potential interest rate cut. Hayes also emphasized that assets like Bitcoin will likely benefit from a liquid global financial market that may come from inflation. Japanese Yen Could Disrupt U.S. Financial Market In a keynote address…
Bitcoin took a tumble on Tuesday, hitting a low of $61,455 per coin after peaking at $65,103 just three days prior. The crypto market downturn resulted in a shake-up, with $20.28 million in bitcoin long positions and $40.29 million in ether longs being liquidated. Crypto Market Stumbles: Bitcoin and Ethereum Face 2-3% Declines On Tuesday,…
As August draws to a close with just four days left, bitcoin has slipped by 2.74% this month, leaving market watchers eager to see if September will bring better news. History hasn’t been kind to bitcoin in September; over the past 11 years, it has ended the month on a downward trend 72.73% of the…
As the U.S. Federal Reserve’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) gears up for its meeting on Sept. 18, anticipation is building for a rate cut. Market participants are placing their bets, with expectations leaning toward either a 25 basis points (bps) reduction or a 50bps cut. However, Massachusetts Senator Elizabeth Warren is urging the Fed…
Bitcoin’s correlation with the U.S. equities market has been rising for more than a month, as seen in the collective plunge and rally across different asset classes during the Japanese yen crisis earlier this month and the Federal Reserve’s statements at the Jackson Hole symposium last week. According to the recent edition of the Bitfinex…
August 27, 2024 at 07:50 PM GST updated: August 27, 2024 at 07:39 PM 2 mins read News Federal Reserve interest rate cuts and labor market shifts could impact traditional and digital financial markets within weeks. The U.S. elections might introduce a pro-crypto administration, potentially affecting Bitcoin mining and stablecoin regulations. Russia’s cryptocurrency trials and…
Crypto markets have held on to gains over the weekend following an upsurge in the wake of the Federal Reserve meeting last Friday. Speaking at Jackson Hole, Fed Chair Jerome Powell affirmed expectations of an impending monetary policy pivot stating “the time has come for policy to adjust,” before adding that the “timing and pace…
The current U.S. benchmark rate for massive overnight money market loans from the central bank is in the range of 5.25% and 5.5%. When Powell spoke in Jackson Hole, Wyoming, on Friday, markets expected more signals of a regime of interest rate cutting ahead. Instead, he went a step further and explicitly endorsed rate cuts. In…
So far, market confidence has been spurred by recent remarks made by Fed officials. The market is projecting that the US PCE inflation number for July will be 0.2%, up from 0.1%. Expectations on a possible Federal Reserve rate decrease in September skyrocketed, leading to a strong gain in the cryptocurrency market last week. Ethereum…
The prediction market Polymarket and CME’s Fedwatch tool suggest that a rate cut during the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting in September is highly likely. However, BCA Research’s chief asset allocation strategist, Garry Evans, argues that even if rates are lowered, it won’t stop a recession in the United States. On the flip side,…
Economist and gold advocate Peter Schiff has cautioned about the U.S. dollar index falling substantially, “triggering a U.S. dollar crisis, crashing the economy, and sending consumer prices and long-term interest rates soaring.” Schiff further warned of higher inflation and stagflation, impacting consumer prices and interest rates. He criticized the Federal Reserve’s current strategies, cautioning against…
Thomas Joseph Webster, Professor Emeritus of Economics at Pace University, challenges the long-held belief in the Federal Reserve’s political independence in his comprehensive report, “The Myth of Fed Political Independence.” Webster’s research scrutinizes the relationship between fiscal and monetary policies, arguing that the Federal Reserve operates more as a political tool than an independent entity….
Bitcoin’s price has surged 6.79% from a low of $60,719 to a high of $64,947. Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell’s indication of potential rate cuts has boosted the crypto market. In the latest crypto market update, Bitcoin has surged past $65,000 following signals from Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell that rate cuts may be on…
Federal Reserve chairman Jerome Powell promised to start cutting interest rates during his speech at the annual 2024 Jackson Hole Economic Symposium on Friday. This will mark the central bank’s first rate cut since 2020, and is already proving bullish for Bitcoin’s price. The Fed Pivot Is Confirmed “The time has come for policy to…
Jerome Powell said that interest rate reductions are in the works. The market’s expectation is that the Fed will decrease interest rates by 100 bps this year. The most powerful indication of Fed rate reduction came from US Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell during his Friday address in Jackson Hole. Following the recent publication of…
The business week ends with high levels of volatility as bitcoin’s price soared to almost $64,000 for the first time since the start of the month. This rally, which was mostly mimicked by the altcoins, was possibly fueled by the latest developments on the US front and its central bank in particular. CryptoPotato reported earlier…
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell expressed confidence in the central bank’s progress in reducing inflation, suggesting that rate cuts may be on the horizon. Speaking at the Jackson Hole economic symposium, Powell emphasized the Fed’s commitment to achieving its 2% inflation target while maintaining a strong labor market. Rate Cuts Possible as Powell Expresses Confidence…
The open interest in Bitcoin futures reached $31.92 billion on August 22. The OI is the sum of all unsettled derivative contracts, including futures and options. Some have taken the release of the US Federal Reserve’s meeting minutes from July as more confirmation of a rate decrease in September. However in the hours after the…
QCP Capital reports that the largest downward revision to U.S. payrolls in 15 years has raised concerns over the strength of the labor market. The report suggests that these revisions could influence the Federal Reserve’s decisions on interest rates. QCP Capital: U.S. Payroll Revision and Fed Policy Shift Market Dynamics QCP Capital‘s latest insights highlight…
Bitcoin’s price hit $61,838 per coin by 3:45 p.m. EDT on Wednesday, after spending much of the day lingering below the $60,000 mark. The crypto market mirrored the upward movement seen in the S&P 500 and Nasdaq, which both rallied just before the closing bell. This newfound optimism is largely being credited to the Federal…
Economist and gold advocate Peter Schiff predicts that “precious metals mining will be the best-performing sector” this decade. He highlighted that “gold mining stocks are a steal” and anticipates “a major bull market.” Additionally, Schiff cautioned that the Federal Reserve risks making a policy mistake by cutting interest rates too soon. ‘The Stage Is Set…
Neel Kashkari has confirmed that September is a suitable time to discuss potential rate decreases. The CME FedWatch tool predicts a 25 bps decrease in September with a 75.5% chance. After a long period, US Federal Reserve (Fed) policymakers are considering a rate decrease in September, shifting gears from maintaining rates constant to cutting rates….
QCP Capital’s latest insights report offers a fascinating blend of optimism and caution as investors eagerly anticipate Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s speech at the Jackson Hole symposium. The firm observes a buoyant mood in equity markets, with U.S. stocks reaching record highs, while the crypto sector remains firmly in the doldrums. QCP Capital Report…
2024 has so far been quite eventful for Bitcoin (BTC), whose price is currently hovering around $58,500, or up 40% year-to-date (YTD). The most successful period for the primary cryptocurrency was in mid-March when it hit a new all-time high of over $73,500. In the following lines, we will explore some important factors that suggest…
Stock markets have shown signs of recovery, but the same cannot be said for crypto markets, which are facing heavy resistance. Volatility could tick up again as all eyes will be on the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting and minutes this week in addition to economic data reports. Economic Events Aug. 19 to 23…
Goldman Sachs economists have lowered the likelihood of a U.S. recession within the next year from 25% to 20%, citing recent data on retail sales and jobless claims. If the upcoming August jobs report, scheduled for release on September 6, shows favorable results, the probability of a recession may be further reduced to 15%, which…
UBS reported on Friday that U.S. stocks extended their rally as new economic data, including a 1% rise in July retail sales, eased concerns about a potential recession. Despite the encouraging consumer resilience, UBS cautioned that the risk of a significant economic slowdown remains, especially after weaker July jobs data. Investors are advised to wait…
Right now, the market is leaning towards the U.S. Federal Reserve lowering the benchmark interest rate at the Sept. 18, 2024, Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. The CME Fedwatch tool currently indicates a 75% likelihood of a 25-basis-point (bps) rate cut. Over on Polymarket, bettors are even more confident, showing an 82% chance of…