Bitcoin’s 14% surge in October is grabbing widespread attention. The cryptocurrency reached over $65,000 on Monday. According to a Bernstein report, part of the excitement traces back to Donald Trump’s improving odds in the upcoming U.S. election. Analysts argue that Trump’s pro-crypto stance is giving Bitcoin an extra push and fueling the current rally.
Bernstein’s analysts, Gautam Chhugani, Mahika Sapra and Sanskar Chindalia, commented on the matter stating, “Bitcoin’s correlation with Trump’s improving election odds is driving recent market strength.”
According to Polymarket, Trump currently holds a 55.9% chance of winning compared to Harris’ 43.8%. The former president is also leading in five out of six key swing states — a critical factor as both candidates battle for those all-important electoral votes.
Beyond the presidency, Polymarket projects a 78% likelihood that Republicans will secure control of the Senate. Meanwhile, the odds favor Democrats maintaining a hold on the House at 56%. However, the possibility of one party sweeping all branches remains more uncertain. Republicans stand a 39% chance of pulling off a clean sweep, while Democrats face a slimmer 16% chance.
While Bitcoin’s upward swing excites many, it also raises some red flags. The higher Bitcoin climbs, the more scammers take advantage of the craze. Fake trading platforms and Ponzi schemes have been targeting eager investors. They have been preying on those looking to capitalize on the buzz. It’s a dangerous mix of greed and vulnerability.
MicroStrategy and Bitcoin: The Larger Picture
Corporate Bitcoin holder MicroStrategy has also played a part in Bitcoin’s market dynamics. Since 2020, MicroStrategy has aggressively purchased Bitcoin to contribute to its massive 1,620% stock rise. This has outpaced Bitcoin itself which saw a 426% gain in the same period. CEO Michael Saylor envisions even more. He’s betting big on Bitcoin to transform MicroStrategy into a top “Bitcoin bank” with 252,000 BTC in hand worth about $16 billion.
BTC Shorts on the Verge of Liquidation as Price Nears $67k
Trump’s Crypto Push
Trump’s policies have attracted attention in the crypto world. His pro-Bitcoin stance includes promises like appointing a more crypto-friendly SEC chief and even creating a national Bitcoin Reserve. Some analysts believe that if Trump secures a victory in the upcoming election then Bitcoin could shoot up to $90,000. But if Kamala Harris wins, they warn it could fall as low as $40,000.
Crypto Fraud Risks on the Rise
As the hype around Bitcoin grows so do the risks. Historically, when Bitcoin prices rise so does crypto-related fraud. Scammers launch fake investment platforms, run Ponzi schemes and target wallets, leaving unsuspecting investors vulnerable. With minimal regulation compared to traditional financial markets, the crypto space remains risky terrain. Even as major players like MicroStrategy make bold moves into Bitcoin, it’s crucial for investors to tread carefully.
