Matrixport Forecasts BTC Drop to $36k Amid SEC ETF Concerns

Bitcoin ETF

Matrixport, a crypto financial services platform, is predicting that the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) may reject the proposal for Bitcoin Spot ETFs. In light of this, they have issued a caution about a possible drop in Bitcoin’s price, suggesting it could dip to $36,000. The platform is advising traders to consider protective measures in response to this potential scenario.

Matrixport, a prominent crypto financial services platform, has made a significant prediction regarding the future of Bitcoin and the potential decision by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) on Bitcoin Spot ETFs. Their forecast suggests that the SEC is likely to reject all Bitcoin spot ETFs in January, leading to a potential substantial drop in Bitcoin’s value, possibly reaching $36,000. This revelation has created a stir in the market, prompting Matrixport to advise investors to consider protective measures, including purchasing put options or directly shorting Bitcoin.

Matrixport’s Bearish Outlook on Bitcoin: SEC’s ETF Rejection and Market Impact

Matrixport, a major player in crypto financial services, has disrupted the optimistic narrative surrounding Bitcoin’s future with a recent report. Their analysis suggests that the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) is poised to reject Bitcoin spot ETFs in January, challenging earlier bullish expectations. The report reflects Matrixport’s growing skepticism about the SEC’s crypto-friendly stance, especially under the cautious leadership of Chairman Gary Gensler.

The Democratic influence within the SEC takes center stage in the report, raising concerns about the potential delay in ETF approvals until the second quarter of 2024. This delay dashes hopes of an immediate market boost, challenging the widespread anticipation of a positive regulatory environment.

Matrixport underscores the significant role of ETF-related expectations in driving the current influx of funds into the crypto market. The report suggests that if the SEC denies the proposed ETFs, it could trigger substantial liquidations. According to Matrixport’s estimate, out of the additional $14 billion in investments, approximately $10 billion is linked to optimistic ETF prospects.

In a striking prediction, the report foresees a rapid 20% decline in Bitcoin’s price, reverting to a range of around $36,000 to $38,000, should the SEC reject the ETFs. This potential market impact adds a layer of uncertainty for investors navigating the evolving regulatory landscape.

Matrixport’s Risk Mitigation Strategies: Preparing for SEC’s Decision

As the critical January 5, 2024 deadline approaches, Matrixport issues a stark warning to traders, urging them to safeguard their long exposure with protective measures. The recommended strategies involve purchasing put options with a $40,000 strike price, set to expire at the end of January. Alternatively, traders are advised to consider outright short positions through options, preparing for potential market turbulence following the SEC’s decision on Bitcoin spot ETFs.

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Despite the short-term caution, Matrixport maintains an optimistic long-term perspective for Bitcoin. The analysis anticipates Bitcoin’s price to close above $42,000 by the end of 2024, mirroring the value at the beginning of the year. The report draws attention to historical trends, including patterns observed in US election years and Bitcoin mining cycles, suggesting the potential for a rally.

As of the latest data, Bitcoin’s price experienced a 1.99% decrease from the previous day, trading at $44,467.42. Over the last 24 hours, it reached a high of $45,503.24 and a low of $44,412.40. Traders and investors are closely monitoring the market dynamics as the crypto landscape braces for potential regulatory developments.

Important: Please note that this article is only meant to provide information and should not be taken as legal, tax, investment, financial, or any other type of advice.


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  • Asad

    Asad is a dynamic and talented cryptocurrency content author who brings a wealth of knowledge and enthusiasm to every article. With a deep understanding of blockchain technology and a passion for digital assets, Asad's writing is both informative and engaging.

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